Determining Solar PV Potential in Turks and Caicos Islands
FortisTCI plans to increase the amount of electricity generated with solar PV that it uses to supply its customers in TCI. K&M has been engaged by FortisTCI to develop a robust estimate of the amount of electricity that can be generated with solar PV systems that are economically feasible in TCI. This will inform: (i) the targets FortisTCI sets for generating electricity with renewable energy (RE); and (ii) the energy and capacity FortisTCI will need from other sources, such as natural gas, to reliably meet the demand from its customers. As part of an initial assessment of solar PV on TCI, K&M will conduct a review of the existing GIS data and other relevant information, conduct site visits to Provo, North Caicos, Middle Caicos, South Caicos, Gran Turk, and Salt Cay, and will develop a dynamic financial model for solar PV. This will inform FortisTCI on the total amount of land available that can be used to install utility-scale solar PV systems, the total amount of electricity that can be generated with economically feasible solar PV systems, and the average levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) generated with economically feasible systems.
In this assignment, K&M holds several key responsibilities. Firstly, they are tasked with conducting a comprehensive review of the existing Geographic Information System (GIS) data and other pertinent information. Secondly, K&M is required to carry out site visits to multiple locations, including Provo, North Caicos, Middle Caicos, South Caicos, Gran Turk, and Salt Cay. Additionally, a pivotal aspect of their role is the development of a dynamic financial model tailored for solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. This model will serve to inform FortisTCI about crucial factors, such as the total available land for utility-scale solar PV installations, the potential electricity generation capacity of economically viable solar PV systems, and the average Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) associated with electricity produced from these economically feasible systems. These responsibilities collectively contribute to the strategic planning and decision-making process regarding solar PV initiatives.
Utilities Aruba is undertaking several transformational initiatives to decarbonize the energy and water sectors in Aruba. These initiatives include a proposal to create a Hydrogen Valley where energy from a new solar PV facility would power the grid and produce green hydrogen for local uses and eventually for export. Green hydrogen would be used to power fuel-cells in buses, taxis, port and airport vehicles, hotels, and public buildings. The green hydrogen would also be blended with natural gas to power reciprocating engines that supply power to the grid.
K&M will conduct economic modeling of the solar PV plus green hydrogen project proposed to understand its impact on the energy cost to Arubans. K&M will also perform independent due diligence on the technology proposed. K&M will provide assistance exploring and applying for capital grants that could reduce the solar PV + green hydrogen project’s costs. The economic modeling work will also estimate the grant amounts required to make the cost of the green hydrogen project competitive with the alternative options.
A large renewable energy developer, directly or indirectly through one or more affiliates, was participating in a competitive process for the potential sale of 100% of the shares in (1) one 52.5 MW wind farm and one 1.5 MW solar PV plant in operation (“Operating Assets”) and (2) development projects comprising 200 MW wind farms and 8 MW in a solar PV plant in the same location as the Operating Assets, and a 140 MW solar PV plant in another location (the latter three jointly referred to as the “Growth Projects” and together with the Operating Assets the “Target Companies”). The Target Companies are located in the Dominican Republic.
K&M’s role is to provide market and technical due diligence services to assist our client in all steps and activities in M&A transactions for the acquisition of 100% of the outstanding shares of the Target Companies. The first stage was to assist in the preparation of the submission of the non-binding offer.
The firm contracted K&M to provide market and technical due diligence services to assist in all steps and activities in M&A transactions for the acquisition of 100% of the outstanding shares of the Target Companies. The Target Companies include (1) one 52.5 MW wind farm and one 1.5 MW solar PV plant in operation (“Operating Assets”) and (2) development projects comprising 200 MW wind farms and 8 MW in a solar PV plant in the same location as the Operating Assets, and a 140 MW solar PV plant in another location (the latter three jointly referred to as the “Growth Projects”). The first stage was to assist in the preparation of the submission of the non-binding offer.
As part of the study, K&M completed the following tasks:
- Red Flags Report and Analysis
- Technical due diligence of operating assets and growth projects, including performance, commercial, financial, technical, and main technical, development, and construction risks
- Review of key commercial contracts
- Provide technical and financial inputs for the financial model/valuation
- Analysis of the Capex and O&M structure of the Operating Asset
- Analysis of the Pipeline (Growth Projects)
- Energy and capacity analysis
- Market assessment
The energy systems of Grenada, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Saint Lucia, Dominica, and Saint Kitts and Nevis are highly dependent on fossil fuels. Estimates and drilling results show these countries have 160 MW of geothermal energy production capacity. However, this capacity is significantly greater than the local demand. This situation provides opportunities to use the excess geothermal energy in creative ways that can promote the energy transformation in the Caribbean. Two examples are exporting the excess geothermal power to nearby islands or using it for electrolysis to create green hydrogen—a clean and versatile energy carrier. The Inter-American Development Bank hired K&M for this assignment to assess the potential synergies between excess geothermal energy production capacity not needed for local use in the Eastern Caribbean and the creation of a Caribbean-based green hydrogen market.
K&M carried out a pre-feasibility assessment for green hydrogen production from geothermal power and commercialization in the Eastern Caribbean (EC) with a focus on Grenada, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Saint Lucia, Dominica, and Saint Kitts and Nevis. This included an electricity sector analysis, estimation of geothermal energy potential, and conducting a geothermal energy cost analysis. K&M also estimated the demand for green hydrogen for energy, industrial use, heavy transport, and petrochemical production in the EC and Trinidad and Tobago.
Our team identified the export opportunities for green hydrogen produced in the EC, as well as the required technologies and options for the production and export of green hydrogen. Additionally, an inter-island hub for green hydrogen logistics and international export was determined. The team estimated the volume of green hydrogen produced from excess geothermal power in the EC, assessed the investment needs for green hydrogen production from geothermal sources, and calculated the levelized cost of green hydrogen.
Furthermore, a cost-benefit analysis was conducted comparing green hydrogen to subsea transmission and battery storage. These activities contributed to the development of a preliminary business model for a green hydrogen network in the EC. As part of this work, technical, commercial, and regulatory barriers for a regional green hydrogen market were identified, potential business models to support the market’s development were analyzed, contractual schemes to deliver green hydrogen to T&T were identified, and the range of pricing for green hydrogen offered to key regional and international markets from T&T was determined.
The Inter-American Development Bank had contracted a team of firms consisting of K&M, GeothermEx, and POWER Engineers to assess the potential uses of excess geothermal energy in the Eastern Caribbean. The general objective of this consultancy was to assess options for exporting excess geothermal energy in the Eastern Caribbean. The specific objectives of this consultancy were to carry out an infrastructure and investment assessment for green hydrogen production in the Eastern Caribbean based on geothermal energy generation, as well as develop a business model for a green hydrogen network in the region. K&M was responsible for estimating the volume of green hydrogen that could have been produced from excess geothermal power in the Eastern Caribbean, determining the investment needs to produce green hydrogen from geothermal sources, estimating the levelized cost of green hydrogen, and proposing a preliminary business model for a green hydrogen network in the Eastern Caribbean.
The general objective of this consultancy was to prepare the technical, economic, and legal feasibility studies for the introduction of green hydrogen in the energy supply for the domestic market, as well as the supply of an international market from Panama.
In this assignment, K&M was responsible for assessing the potential routes for commercializing green hydrogen from Panama, identifying the role of Panama in the green hydrogen supply chain, developing a methodology for prioritizing capital investments in green hydrogen, and carrying out the economic analysis and risk analysis of developing green hydrogen facilities in Panama.
With the support of the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA), the Americas program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) conducted an evaluation of hydrogen and geothermal energy development across five countries in Latin America. As part of this project, K&M contributed specifically to the geothermal energy development component, focusing on three countries: El Salvador, Costa Rica, and Peru.
K&M undertook the task of producing a Policy Brief, aiming to identify past and existing bottlenecks, potential risks, inherent advantages, and future opportunities pertaining to geothermal energy development in El Salvador, Costa Rica, and Peru. The Policy Brief served as a comprehensive document outlining the findings and recommendations for various stakeholders, including governments within the region, multilateral organizations, official development assistance agencies, the private sector, and other relevant entities that emerged throughout the research process. The aim was to provide actionable recommendations to support and facilitate geothermal energy development in the region.
The U.S. Trade and Development Agency (USTDA) sponsored the Global Procurement Initiative: Interstate Clean Energy Procurement Program for India. This program consists of multiple activities, including two (2) separate and distinct workshops hosted in New Delhi, India, that trains participants on clean energy procurement practices.
The workshops are designed to investigate how to integrate best-value determinations and international best practices in public procurement for India’s clean energy sector. The training specifically explores value-based procurement mechanisms designed to achieve optimal results from public procurements in the energy sector using advanced value and quality-based procurement methods. The aim of the workshops is to improve technical capacity in developing technical specifications, utilizing life-cycle cost analysis (“LCCA”), and creating non-price criteria for evaluation factors. This Program will also provide a platform for cross-border knowledge sharing in the procurement of renewable energy.
K&M was engaged by the Business Council for International Understanding (BCIU) to develop and deliver USTDA-funded training sessions on international procurement best practices and practices to achieve value for money in the clean energy sector.
The workshops were designed to investigate how to integrate best-value determinations and international best practices in public procurement for India’s clean energy sector. The training specifically explores value-based procurement mechanisms designed to achieve optimal results from public procurements in the energy sector using advanced value and quality-based procurement methods. The aim of the workshops is to improve technical capacity in developing technical specifications, utilizing life-cycle cost analysis (“LCCA”), and creating non-price criteria for evaluation factors.
The K&M team provided input on agenda development, developed training presentations, and content, participated in an industry roundtable with private sector representatives, and delivered training sessions to public sector energy sector representatives from 10 Indian states.
K&M traveled to New Delhi to deliver training sessions on the role of new energy technologies, best value structures and processes, developments and lessons learned in renewable energy tenders, ensuring bankability of energy projects, financial and commercial considerations for renewable energy PPAs, and considerations for value management during tendering and implementation.
U.S. Trade and Development Agency (USTDA) is working to implement the Global Procurement Initiative: Understanding Best Value (GPI) Regional Energy Procurement Program for South Asia (REPPSA) Virtual Training Series. The purpose of the REPPSA Virtual Training Series is to learn about innovative best-value procurement practices to support the development of high-quality energy infrastructure. The REPPSA Virtual Training Series is broken into a two-part training series focused on best practices in the procurement of energy infrastructure.
K&M was engaged by Green Powered Technology to develop and deliver USTDA-funded training sessions on Public Private Partnerships for Energy and Power Purchase Agreements. The workshops were designed to learn about innovative best-value procurement practices to support the development of high-quality energy infrastructure.
The K&M team developed training presentations and content and delivered virtual training sessions to public sector energy sector representatives from Maldives, Sri Lanka, Nepal and Bangladesh.
K&M delivered virtual training sessions on use of PPPs for energy sectors, PPP planning, PPP procurement preparation and design including non-price evaluation factors, PPP implementation, role and development of PPA, development of bankable PPA, roles and best practices of key PPA provisions, and incorporation of non-price evaluation factors in PPA.
The IADB has hired the KBR team to assist the Government of Trinidad and Tobago in developing and implementing green hydrogen demonstration projects. K&M is responsible for conducting financial and economic analyses of these projects, aiming to assess production costs, analyze economic benefits, and propose suitable business models for implementation.
Under this project, K&M will create a financial and economic model of the demonstration projects with an estimate aggregate size of USD120 million in investment. This analysis will forecast cash flows and financial results for each project and consolidate the projections to show overall program results. The financial model for each project will consider factors such as size, initial and operational expenses, investment timing, renewable energy costs, green hydrogen production costs (including electrolyzer expenses, water costs, operational and maintenance expenses, and storage costs), and costs associated with downstream products like green ammonia, green methanol, or green cement production. The model will also project the quantity of electricity, green hydrogen, and other products generated by each project and estimate the required investments through cash flow projections based on the initial expenses. It will further calculate the levelized costs of electricity, hydrogen, and other products, considering factors like production, conditioning, storage, and relevant expenses. By disaggregating the costs of green hydrogen and ammonia, the model will identify the main cost drivers, including electricity, storage, electrolyzer CAPEX, and operational expenses. Additionally, the model will assess the economic and financial viability of each project and the overall program, establishing key performance indicators (KPIs). It will also allow for sensitivity analysis of critical variables and be flexible enough to incorporate new projects.
K&M will also lead the design of the business model and financial structure for the projects. K&M will propose three different business models, assigning activities to both private and public partners, and work with the government to determine the most suitable model. The analysis will evaluate the role of the public sector in facilitating the business model and include a comprehensive risk assessment covering commercial, technical, financial, and socio-environmental risks. K&M will allocate risks among operators, investors, government, and financiers, and propose strategies for risk mitigation. Furthermore, K&M will analyze the financial viability and structure of the business model, considering the financial revenue and returns for each project and all involved parties.
K&M will provide additional support to KBR in various activities. Firstly, it will examine the challenges and opportunities related to renewable energy and green hydrogen production, considering the entire value chain. Based on this perspective, K&M will develop recommendations for the Government of Trinidad and Tobago and public institutions to facilitate and promote future investments in these projects, ensuring maximum benefits are realized. Secondly, K&M will prepare the necessary documentation to initiate the procurement process for each demonstration project. This documentation will include technical specifications, drawings, budgets, procurement types, and strategies for the expression of interest (EOI) and request for proposal (RFP) processes, adhering to industry best practices and IDB procurement policies. K&M will also create a procurement plan listing all the necessary procurements required for project implementation, aligned with the business model and the responsible parties. Budgets, procurement types, and strategies for the EOI and RFP processes will be outlined for each procurement, following industry best practices and IDB procurement policies. Lastly, K&M will assist the IDB and the Government of Trinidad and Tobago in preparing the required material to secure international funds. This will involve preparing the necessary documentation for the demonstration projects to access funds, with K&M leading the financial and economic aspects while KBR contributes to the technical aspects. The documentation will be tailored for up to three funds, including the Global Environmental Facility (GEF), the European Union (EU) Latin America and Caribbean Investment Facility (LACIF), and any other international donors or agencies agreed upon by the Government and the IDB.